24th May 2012, 10:59 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
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An example being the price the horse went around at.
Do we filter that price by jockey, or is that inbuilt to the price.
Is the price taking into account Heavy track and heavy form of the horse or is that inbuilt into the price by the public already.
I would suggest that in the pointy end of the market, those factors certainly are.
If we filter by has the horse ever won within 7 days before or is it his first crack at it, I don't think this is inbuilt into the price. Punters in general just don't go back that far in form. The greatest influence in price is the last start performance coupled with money or lack thereof for the horse on track.
Anything outside these parameters, is usually a handicapper's dream.
Because that's where errors in pricing occur along with overlays.
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