25th May 2012, 11:39 PM
|
|
Member
|
|
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
|
|
Quote:
|
Originally Posted by mattio
My thoughts were like most peoples in that overlays were the key to value and therefore profits when backing but I soon found that the market is a much better guide and I found that horses starting as "unders" had a better winning strike rate and lost less than those that would have been considered "overs" or value.
|
Matt I've had success in the past backing the top selection of those "Crowd Ratings" at unders. If I could get under the rated price I'd back the selection, anything over I'd leave. Worked very well on the top selection, the second top roughly broke even and from third selection and higher you did better backing the overs and leaving the unders. Clearly my pricing needed to give more emphasis to the top two, therefore evening out the gaps. But there's not much use pricing your selections so they match the market 
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
|