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Old 26th May 2012, 01:37 AM
mattio mattio is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
Mattio
Interesting finding. About 6 mths testing. Is it all days, all venues. all goings?
Joe Public is reasonably good picking the toppies and as such these are usually the unders. They shun the potential also rans. These become the overs. You are using ratings to determine the overs, meaning that rating system has determined these horses better than what they actually prove to be. There are two types of overs, the first being the rated assessment of each of the horses compared with each other, and the second being the straight out numerical breakeven point. One is used when you are betting one race at a time and the other when betting en masse. The first is only an opinion. The second is useless if you are only betting an occassional race. What filters are you using? Beton
Beton the testing has been on all days and venues and goings, the filters are nothing out of the ordinary, just things like weight, barrier, distance etc. The key I believe is the overlay based on the rated price I use which so far has proven to be successful but only when I start to place real bets is when I will know for sure.

Cheers,

Mat.
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