Only bothered to do 4 of the 6 matches so far basically because these are the matches that decide who will make the top 4.

Chiefs-Brumbies 27-30.
Blues-Highlanders 27-21.
Reds-NSW 27-22.
Sharks-Stormers 26-26.

How I think these games will affect the top 4.

First scoreline says a close game. All the chiefs need to secure a top 4 spot is 1 bonus point.

Blues will need several results to go their way (like NSW). Scenarios for the Blues:

Blues pick up 5 points:
Need NSW to pick up 4 or less. Need either the stormers to pick up 4 or less and the chiefs to not get any points.

Blues pick up 4 points:
Need NSW and stormers to lose. The blues really need 5 points here.

Solid defence vs the best attacking side (potentially). Should be a good watch. Also interesting that the last time the blues beat the highlanders was back in 2000.

Reds-NSW. Not sure which way the bookies will lean, but I doubt the line will be any greater than -1.5. The reds may be the fave thanks to NSW losing on sat, the reds successful SA road trip and the fact that NSW has never beaten the reds in super 12 history. These are the scenario's for NSW:

NSW picks up 5 points:
If the stormers pick up 4 or less points, NSW is in. If the stormers get 5, they must rely on the chiefs not picking up a single bonus point.

NSW picks up 4 points:
Must rely on stormers losing, and for the blues to not pick up 5 points. NSW really needs 5 points here.

Stormers:
Sitting in 4th, but definately not comfortably. Scenario's for stormers:

Stormers get 5 points, they secure a top 4 spot.

Stormers get 4 points, they'll need NSW to pick up less than 5 points.

The highlanders and sharks need to win, and have NSW, the blues and the stormers to all lose.

Outside the top 4, NSW has the best chance (thanks to their F/A). I think they'll get up against the reds, maybe the full 5. Last week will be hurting them (matt burkes kick summed the game up, so many opportunities that weren't taken), and they'll be looking to hit back hard. NSW have never beaten the reds, but nothing lasts forever. Come on NSW.

I think the stormers will win so it'll all probally come down to whether the chiefs pick up a bonus point.

Close season, 8 teams still in the running with only 2 of them securing a top 4.