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Originally Posted by Shaun
This is a bit like my new way of selecting runners for the quaddie, at the moment my idea is to rate a race then eliminate anything rated higher than 50/1.
Then i will average the rating for the remaining runners then select any runner lower than the average.
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If this is working for you then go for it.
Perhaps you could also consider adding up the percentages , starting from the top selection , until you reach say 80% or so.Or maybe 66%
Probably end up with the same thing.
Problems could arise when you have an Odds On.
With your approach Shaun , you end up taking the Favourite blonk.
If this animal fails and you get the 3 other legs , you feel sick.
Because these are the quaddies what pay huge.
A better approach might be just to use an Excel program where you input all your prices into the program , and it spits out the chances of every possible combination.
I have done this , but found it impractical to bet the wagers into groups of permutations.
Here is a template attached to see what I mean