10th May 2004, 01:07 AM
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Quote:
In every study, a horses adjacent performance look exactly like what you would expect from random performance around their average talent level, given their standard deviation. Thus my conclusion, at least with current evidence, that form doesn't exist as a predictive factor.
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If this is true then surely a horse with a poor last start but an "average talent level" indicating a strong chance in a particular race would usually be good value. Or is there also no correlation between recent form and market price? Now that I would find hard to believe.
[ This Message was edited by: OnTheNose on 2004-05-10 01:10 ]
[ This Message was edited by: OnTheNose on 2004-05-10 12:47 ] |