You are getting me into unknown territory now. All I know, and have been watching closely is my consistent strike rate that varies between 19 and 26 % and is generally consistent about 20 to 22%.

So working on that, if I am correct means a winner in every five races so to go forward I have to achieve an average winer of 6s. I have been doing better then that and that is why my bank has been rising slowly but consistently.

In reply to your first part of the question I cannot tell you what my expected run of outs are at 7 to I. I think I do not quite understand what you are getting at but my thinking is we are both on the same tram and I may not be expressing myself very clearly.

The good Lord has provided us with list of expected run of outs. They are very close to what I feel comfortable with and try to work on a level of 40 outs at my 20% SR which works out at 2 1/2 % of bank.

As the bank rises I expect to make a withdrawal or reduce the bet to 2% and so on. Which is what I have done recently.

However Staking Plans are another side issue I am interested in, but not in this thread as it complicates what I am finding to be a very thought provoking thread for me.

Star