Knew i should have not posted this angle Especially as i have not been through it myself.
Probably haven't explained this properly although i thought i did.
We are not looking at the horse ("that's the second part")
"WE ARE LOOKING AT THE RACE ITSELF"
For example using P'S 123 example of,
Temple of Doom it is the ""AURIE STAR RACE ITSELF " we are interested in.
That race, what is it like following the winners and placegetters,
Over the years do those horses go on and win races within,
There next3- 4-5 starts or does the race not produce much,
In the way of future winners.
I look at this a little bit in my own form analysis but not,
In that format i call it a 'KEY RACE" it is when you see,
A Horse win a race be it metro cntry prov horses,
That finish behind it and the winner itself,
Will go on and win again many times next start.
It's identifying these races early that leads to future winners,
Before everybody else jumps on.
This is why i watch and tape races every day only my own racetypes,
Which i have posted, that way the workload becomes managable.
For instance in between posting i am watching the 6 races i earmarked today.
Let's take the Blue Diamond for example off the top of my head,
Do last start winners and placegetters repeat next start, some don't start again,
Others push on to the Golden slipper some go up in distance and,
Run in the Sires over 1400.
What then, do they come back and win 1-2-3 up as 3yo's,
Or does the Blue Diamond prep burn them out??.
Unfortunately i have not followed this angle and,
I have no evidence or data that it works.
All i know that Bob, that was his name made a living,
Out of it for many years up to 2007 anyway.
He would always then assess the trainer,
Some horses trained by lesser trainers fluked,
The win on the day the better trainers,
Could go on and get there horses to win again often at,
Very big odds like that day at flemington.
He personally liked l Freedman Hayes and Cummings,
That was back in the late 90's early 2000.
They would enter 2-3 in a race sure enough Bob would,
Be on the $21.00 shot the stable elect least fancied.
I entered this thread on a whim with no factual evidence,
To back my theory up, this is something i hate doing,
And i promise you, i will not do again.
Will still post or give an opinion but not say things that i can't verify.
Sorry but that's just me.
Cheers.
|