Systems need a decent and logical Base, for example it may be based on Average Prizemoney. What filters you apply from this point in time must be beneficial to the POT. We all know the standard filters such as 1 to 4 in the last 4 runs, must have started within 14 days of previous run, must have won or placed on the track etc, etc, and ************ boring etc ..... You're going to end up with the same horse most other pounters have.

What can I do ??? Well you could start by doing what others aren't doing, and this doesn't mean to be so radical that you back the outsider or horses with form spell 000, you'll end up in the poorhouse BUT, you need to include a filter that most others wouldn't consider.

Let me give an example of my thinking - My horse has been selected on Average Prizemoney plus a few other filters ONE of which is Barrier 1 to 3 and it's odds are $4.50 - Hypothetically if it started from the outside barrier and because it usually races mid field it's chances of winning are less than if it had drawn barrier 1 to 3. HERE'S where we ditch the notion of "value" and pop in a new bit of vocabulary, namely "benefit". Are we benefitting substantially in $$$ from the horse being drawn in the outside barrier ??

Are we benefitting from our horse having to lump 60kgs and a weight tunraround of 5kgs to a horse it beat by 1 / 2 length last start ??

Are we benefitting from our horse being 0 / 7 at this distance ??

Are we benefitting from it's last start where it ran nowhere and was vetted ??

You've got to do just ONE thing different to the masses, and benefit from it substantially in the price. Look at a system as being a general indicator that the horse has "some chance" in this race BUT has one NEGATIVE going against it. Luck, I believe is under-rated in racing, and with a little luck, the one NEGATIVE might be wiped out early in the race if it gets into a good position, or a couple of the favoured horses bust their guts trying to get into a good position.

Get a horse that's in with a chance but has that ONE negative and the "Law of Averages" will end in your favour provided that you're getting a decent benefit for that one negative.

Lady luck plays a big part in race results, and Lemming Type behaviour will give you some juicy odds. After all, they've all got four legs, varying levels of fitness, varying degreees of ability .... Why get too scientific regarding the selection method when in the blink of an eye, your horses chances are snuffed out, and so could be the 2nd fav, the 3rd fav ..... yours has had a little luck early at 10 / 1 before the jump, and now in running is odds on !!

How many times has a decent "weight pull" come unstuck and the one dismissed by the weight experts come home at double figure odds.