Thread: NRL questions
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Old 13th May 2004, 04:02 PM
Mr J Mr J is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 759
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Jake does that site give any info earlier than '04?

I've got all the '02 and '04 spreads down..

"on the TAB the best return you can get is backing the away underdogs....This yeilded a return over the seasons of about 98.5%"

A decent system could easily turn away dogs into a profitable trend :wink:

"Never take the draw. TAB gives terrible odds for the draw."

Along with every other sport.

"There is no such thing as a sure bet."

I've been an advantage player for a few years, I already know this :wink:

"but real bookies don't actually try to balance the betting on both sides."

Know that one too. They try to gain value just like we do. Lobsided action...bookies balancing action is the biggest myth around. Also why value is usually found with dogs.

"You need to look at the hype surrounding a team"

Ahhh public opinion. Definately our friend. The bookies can't go out on too much of a limb and have to take into account what the public will think. This creates more value :wink:

BTW, I wouldn't bet at a TAB if my life depended on it. Why pay triple the vig?

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