
20th May 2004, 11:26 AM
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Suspended
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
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Yo Sportznut
If I had the willpower,I would be a strictly AFL punter.But the temptation gets the better of me.
If I could get someone to hold my hand I'm sure I could make a profit consistently every year.
So anyway,after every weekends games I analyze what happened.
I modify my ratings for each team and then calculate my prices for all forms of betting,AFL.
Then midweek I look at what prices are available and look for what I consider the biggest overs.
I try not to take less than 15% overlay and also try to limit to 3 bets.
St.Kilda for premiers,I have in fact backed 4 weeks running.I would say that by September,I will have backed them 15 times.
I also took Kangaroos at evens after they won 3 straight,then prepared to write off that ticket.Lo and behold they're back!.
I didn't fancy them last week at $4.50,but now the $2.75 looks just fine.
The game is on the field.Betting is no game.If you invest your hard earned you need to treat it as an investment,not a guess.
No room in gambling for hoping.
Mo.
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