Well the team that scores more points is more likely to score first. That's assuming it's not a try scoring team vs a 3 pointer team (hello england). No team overdoes shots at goal, but it is a final and there's no incentive to score the 4 tries. 2.00 is definately a bad bet, not sure about 1.77. Tomorrow I'll get my system to predict a score and I'd be able to work out a fair price off that.