Sure. But the bookies are not normally that far off, so large overlays (large +EV) are often not actually value. My point is that the 15% might be too large a buffer.

E.g. I subscribe to the tennis package. I did an analysis of the results and found that large overlays have not been profitable. Why? Because the handicapper missed or overvalued something that the bookies didn't.

You can always check with other cappers to see what their opinions are, and if they agree there's value then it could very well be a great bet.

I don't like your attitude for your responses. You seem to be under the impression that I'm just a punter, well I'm not. I've been a full-time advantage player since I left high school and have learnt a few things along the way.