Thread: NRL r11
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Old 21st May 2004, 05:19 PM
jakelee jakelee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
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Hi Guys,

Just six games this weekend, with Knights Roosters and Broncos having the weekend off. Shame, because these three are always good betting. The real stinkers for betting are the Eels. But, let's see how we go this weekend.

Eels v Dragons
The bookies can't call this one. They suspect that the Dragons will win against a dull Eels outfit, who have blown up against the Cowboys and the Storm. But, the stats say Eels, at home, at night against a sorely depleted Dragons. That's enough for them to lay the Eels as the fav. I'm actually thinking the bookies are gonna try to use Parra as a lay for the entire round. The odds are very conservative (the under/over is 45.5), with even the margin betting showing very conservative odds. I wish I could bet on Morris giving a penalty from the kick off :wink: OK, what's the bet? Dragons 1st scoring play Penalty @ $6.60.

Bulldogs v Tigers
The Bulldogs are the changlings of the NRL. They'll play upto the level of any team, and when they have a handy first half lead, they'll take it easy in the second half. They'll play to the level of the Tigers, but I'm thinking like the other guys here that they might lose it in the forwards this week, and without Price... hmmm. I think the Tigers will surprise the Bulldogs early on, so take Tigers 1-4 Half time @ $7.50.

Storm v Raiders
No Billy Slater? No Smith? But Wiki's in. Gotta take the Raiders on the odds here. True they have been ordinarly, but they really should have beaten the Eels by a bigger margin. Raiders to win @ $3.10 (there are better odds around), and total match points under 47.5 @ $1.85

Cowboys v Panthers
The Panthers are stinging. They need to win this one. Cowboys have started to turn their season around, but it's not momentum yet. Take Panthers to win @ $1.50 (better odds around!) and Preston to score first @ $15.

Souths v Warriors
This will be a beauty. Imagine such short odds for Souths over the Warriors? Take souths with the start +6.5 @ $1.85

Manly v Sharks
Another cracker. I am anticipating extra time for this one. Take Sharks with exact winning margin of 1 point @ $31, and take Manly with exact winning margin of 5 @ $91. (just incase Noddy goes to early for the FG and let Manly in under the posts before extra time :wink:

Good luck all!

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