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Originally Posted by Vortech
The problem is when to bet on your rated horses.
If your third rated horse is 6.00 but paying $25.00 do you back it a place.
Or do you only bet when your 1st rated horse when value and keep betting subsequent horses under that.
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Might be able to help.
Group your ratings in order say 1-2-3-4.
Place each order into an Underlay, Same, Overlay graph.
EG.
Say you rated a race like this.
1=$3.5.
2=$5.0
3=$7.0
4=$11.0
A bit over 70%
On course market.
1=$3.0
2=$7.0
3=$5.5
4=$21.0
1 is an underlay
2 is a 1.5 overlay
3-is an undelay
4 is a 2.0 or double overlay .
Most would go and back their 2nd-4th pick as they are overlays.
But is it wise to bet in the race 'Against your top rated"
When it is an underlay?
Frankly until you have put all your ratings into something like,
The above only that will tell you when and how to bet.
Grouping them in some sort of order it is important to record.
The extent of the overlay.
For me backing top rated i price at $3.50 that open up $12.0-$21.0,
Means i stay out no matter what the rest of my horses are priced.
Defying the market nowadays is not my go.
Most of my profits will come when they are a little under,
Or a little over not massive swings either way.
Hope this helps some.
Cheers.
Garyf.