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Old 20th August 2012, 10:51 AM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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UB yes that's around about the same figure I get for the Tatt's top rater.

This really started as an exercise in to see if we could improve the accuracy of our three "crowd" members by combining their freely available ratings into a single rating. To date I think we're achieving that. From my very irregular recordings of their individual performances I show the following

Tatt's: 22.74%
Sky: 23.74%
Neural: 20.06%

At worst the "crowd" is doing 18.3% better than the best individual. Not too bad I think. I got that figure by dividing the Crowd's all track conditions top rated result 28.1% by the best of the individual's - Sky's 23.74%

Now making a profit is another matter entirely and the next puzzle piece to work on after improving the pricing equation. If we can firm up our strike rate which can only happen over time, and improve the accuracy of our prices so they take that strike rate into consideration, there's almost certainly going to be some way of using these numbers for profit.

There was very little value around last Saturday but the week before from memory a couple of double figure 100 raters won.
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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