28th August 2012, 07:27 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 1,096
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by UselessBettor
There are some interesting problems when analysing this over such a large timeframe. Some tracks have completely been rebuilt in that time. Some have moved the finishing post which alters the starting position.
These changes can have a big affect on the barrier bias in that it may move the starting position closer or further from the first corner. The further the starting stalls are from the first corner the less affect barriers have.
These sorts of things can be frustrating at times.
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I can do it year to year so any sudden change would show up.
Luxinterior,
I have the results for HPV and SHA for at least a year.
so far I can't see any difference to any other track anywhere.
That's why I asked if anyone has a half decent result for any track to let me know so that I can check if I have made a mistake. ( don't think I did!)
Sometimes an anomaly jumps up, like Pakenham Barrier 8 at a distance almost breaks even, yes until you check and find, that there were three longshot winners, but barrier 7 and 9 are not following suit.
So you have to ask what's so different about bp 8? Nothing as it happens only the long shot winners which may never happen again.
I can accept that the inside barriers are better, no doubt, but there can't be any glaring difference between three outside barrier next to each other.
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