28th August 2012, 07:59 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,497
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by lomaca
Sometimes an anomaly jumps up, like Pakenham Barrier 8 at a distance almost breaks even, yes until you check and find, that there were three longshot winners, but barrier 7 and 9 are not following suit.
So you have to ask what's so different about bp 8? Nothing as it happens only the long shot winners which may never happen again.
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Perhaps we are looking at it from the wrong viewpoint. What makes a barrier better ? the Odds returned by the horse are probably irrelevant as the barrier is probably taken into account by the punters.
You should probably concentrate on strike rate to be purely objective. But this doesn't help you much if its already taken into account by everyone else betting on the race. |