
7th September 2012, 01:29 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Barny
Back to where we were without the distractions of personal attacks. I very kindly put up a winning system that didn't have the usual 'form'. I also alluded in my posts to just considering TAB 1. So here are the rules as posted plus the inclusion of only TAB 1.
TAB 1
Last 5 runs 2 to 24
Runs since spell > 4
METRO
Last run exactly 7 days ago
It shows a POT of 27.02% and given the cyclical nature of racing it's not enough to be confident that it will continue to repeat. Agreed? A POT of 27.02% sounds good but you might all of a sudden have a couple of losing years.
So dudes, where else recently on this forum have you been given a system that shows a POT of 27.02% ???? With one more filter I get the POT at 81.29% which is good enough to ride out the cyclical nature of racing and show a profit year on year.
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If you restrict to geldings and then more than 20 sts the POT increases to 34.4%, but that's just mucking around with it really ..... backfitting in spades and that's no good at all.
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