8th September 2012, 12:36 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,070
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LG
I agree with Beton regarding pie sizes.
I'm much more impressed with a 10% POT over 2000 bet's than a 10% profit over two. The former is much harder to achieve, and the later pretty simple really. You've obviously something your not telling us though as I'm not sure what the following means. 
Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
b. You always get a winner bc you are sitting opposite to 'the crowd'
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Here's a dump of real BF lay and back results (the BF bet number is shown) from a bot that's testing a completely automated zero effort "lay with stop loss" system on UK racing. I've added a turnover column on the right and summed that and the profit/loss column to show a $11.87 profit on a $93.85 turnover. Assuming a $100 starting bank that's a 12.6% profit turning over 0.9385 of the bank. Bet placement times are UTC.
I've included this in support of my previous "no hot air intended" comment that making a 10% POT is easily obtained but may be difficult to maintain.
Would love to hear what sitting opposite the crowd means. You know I love a crowd 
All the best
Code:
13:00 Hayd/5f Hcap/Queen Grace Settled $1.43 4.5 Lay $1.43 7/09/2012 12:55 21977773704 $5.01
13:10 Brig/1m4f Hcap/Hikma Settled $1.67 4 Lay $1.67 7/09/2012 13:02 21977916052 $5.01
13:10 Brig/1m4f Hcap/Hikma Settled $1.78 3.75 Back -$1.78 7/09/2012 13:03 21977929203 $1.78
13:20 Chep/1m Mdn Stks/Brick Rising Settled $1.75 3.85 Lay $1.75 7/09/2012 13:12 21978116316 $4.99
13:20 Chep/1m Mdn Stks/Brick Rising Settled $1.93 3.5 Back -$1.93 7/09/2012 13:14 21978143651 $1.93
13:20 Chep/1m Mdn Stks/Entrapping Settled $2.91 2.64 Lay $2.91 7/09/2012 13:18 21978221581 $4.77
13:40 Brig/1m2f Hcap/Highlife Dancer Settled $1.28 4.9 Lay $1.28 7/09/2012 13:35 21978570113 $4.99
13:40 Brig/1m2f Hcap/Semeen Settled $1.25 5 Lay $1.25 7/09/2012 13:34 21978541540 $5.00
13:40 Brig/1m2f Hcap/Semeen Settled $1.36 4.6 Back -$1.36 7/09/2012 13:34 21978554359 $1.36
13:50 Chep/1m Hcap/Croeso Mawr Settled $2.13 3.35 Lay -$5.01 7/09/2012 13:42 21978705771 $5.01
13:50 Chep/1m Hcap/Croeso Mawr Settled $2.30 3.1 Back $4.83 7/09/2012 13:49 21978844945 $2.30
14:05 Hayd/6f Mdn Stks/Sky Garden Settled $1.69 3.95 Lay $1.69 7/09/2012 13:55 21978961399 $4.99
14:05 Hayd/6f Mdn Stks/Sky Garden Settled $1.81 3.75 Back -$1.81 7/09/2012 14:02 21979075636 $1.81
14:05 Hayd/6f Mdn Stks/Valais Girl Settled $1.00 6 Lay $1.00 7/09/2012 14:02 21979081045 $5.00
14:25 Chep/7f Hcap/Clumber Place Settled $2.87 2.59 Lay $2.87 7/09/2012 14:18 21979443549 $4.56
14:35 Hayd/6f Hcap/Willbeme Settled $1.56 4.2 Lay $1.56 7/09/2012 14:26 21979612591 $4.99
14:35 Hayd/6f Hcap/Willbeme Settled $1.68 3.9 Back -$1.68 7/09/2012 14:29 21979682130 $1.68
19:10 Kemp/1m4f Hcap/Mazeydd Settled $2.00 3.5 Lay $2.00 6/09/2012 19:08 21970715799 $5.00
19:10 Kemp/1m4f Hcap/Pallasator Settled $1.32 4.8 Lay -$5.02 6/09/2012 19:00 21970578738 $5.02
19:10 Kemp/1m4f Hcap/Pallasator Settled $1.44 4.4 Back $4.90 6/09/2012 19:08 21970710164 $1.44
19:40 Kemp/1m3f Hcap/Chasin Rainbows Settled $1.00 6 Lay $1.00 6/09/2012 19:39 21971234164 $5.00
19:40 Kemp/1m3f Hcap/Lytham Settled $1.16 5.3 Lay $1.16 6/09/2012 19:31 21971107021 $4.99
19:40 Kemp/1m3f Hcap/Lytham Settled $0.71 8.6 Back -$0.71 6/09/2012 19:31 21971110102 $0.71
20:10 Kemp/6f Hcap/If So Settled $1.39 4.6 Lay $1.39 6/09/2012 20:00 21971547225 $5.00
20:10 Kemp/6f Hcap/If So Settled $1.52 4.2 Back -$1.52 6/09/2012 20:05 21971612275 $1.52
PROFIT $11.87 TURNOVER $93.85
__________________
Pixie "It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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