25th May 2004, 09:22 AM
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Suspended
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
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The reason a selection starts favourite is because it has the most money on it.
The reason roughies start at their price is because they have the least amount of money on them.
Not every time,but nearly every time.Can we all agree the truth there?
Now,just because the favourite wins doesn't mean that most punters win.
It is not like an election where one person,one vote applies.
My $2 is not going to change the market,but Inghams(does he bet? dunno)$2000 probably will.
I would think if you went to the track and asked each punter who they select and give each selection a point,you may well come up with a different order than the actual market.
Consensus of opinion is a summation of everyones tips averaged out.
Very hard to argue with its selection.
I hope I get round to seeing the results of Fridays Herald-Sun tipsters of 2003.
I'll report back when I do.
One person,one vote?.I wonder if a lawyer's vote should be worth the same as a toilet cleaner (some of my best customers are toilet-cleaners)regarding "capital punishment-yes or no".
So when I check those results,I'll see if eliminating the celebrity tipsters improves the result.
What I aim to find is if there are overlays to be found by following a tipster or a consensus or whatever.
I'm tired now,I think I will have a rest.
Mo.
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