19th September 2012, 11:09 AM
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By looking at the AAP Market price you have
1st - 29%
2nd - 24%
3rd - 16%
The best strike rate for 2nd and 3rd raters
With some rough calculations I get the following
If you 1st rater wins 29% of the time you breakeven
If the 2nd and 3rd rater wins you get 40%
Anything else is a loser
To make anysort of profit on this system you would need to define your market percentages at 36.22% or less for the 2nd and 3rd.
I hope my calculations are correct on the attachment.
Regards
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