11th June 2002, 11:56 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 740
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Quote:
On 2002-06-12 00:25, chief wrote:
For 1000-1500m races -overall time matters most.
For 1600m and beyond - final section matters most.
not many horses are able to sprint at the end regardless of early pace -therefore horses like Carnegie Express (who can sprint) can be very hard to beat in such races.
Sunline doesn't run fast overall times, but runs good sectionals in the middle of the race which gets other horses off the bit.
You cannot compare race times - adjustments have to be made for different tracks, track conditions, weight etcc.
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Yes my point is it is really not a true indication of the horses ability to win next start as he may have won with his head on his chest and nursed to the line. OR been pushed along grinding home the last half of the race, been blocked for a run, checked hampered etc.
The last say 400m gives you an indication of how fit the horse is - nothing more.
Luther's Luck, Foxseal, Super Impose... all sprinted from the back of the field at the last 600 - 400m to the finish. Obviously their last sectional is going to be faster than a tear away such as Might and Power, but then it's apples and oranges.
And when it comes to times you cannot compare because there are soooo many other factors to consider.
1. Tempo of the race
2. Luck in running
3. Position (3 wide or on the rails)
4. Normal running position.
5. 1200m at Randwick is not equal to 1200m at Kembla Grange.(track bias and surface).
The list goes on...
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