View Single Post
  #4  
Old 24th October 2012, 07:55 AM
Kanga Kanga is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Posts: 64
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CairnsMan
Hi all,



you can often see a good horse simply become exhausted just before or after the turn and just fold up, exhausted, even though they have been handicapped favorably.

Is it the race pace? The weight? Or some sort of dominating pressure that other runners can apply that brings them undone? I’m trying to find a way to measure this variable in my assessments. Anybody got any clues?

Thanks

CarirnsMan.

Interesting and difficult. You need to discount injury as the reason for compounding (i.e. Mosheen last Saturday) so you could start by checking the time between race starts i.e. if a runner folds up and starts within x days without a spell you can assume it wasn't injured. The difficult part is knowing if it was injured or just spelled...
Reply With Quote