"I only mean about $40 "

I realize that. Re-read my post and look at the "Unless it's play money for a bit of fun " :wink: written right underneath the quote.

"I don't know what this computer model you're talking about is, please tell me about it."

It's a computer model I used for Super 12s where it went 53-16. I started using it the 2nd half of the season where it went 27-11. I had tested it on the first half where it went 24-4.

Testing on the NRL & AFL so far has it at 38-13 and 23-9 respectively. 38-13 is better than 1 in 1000 which means it's probally profitable there. 23-9 for the AFL is not significant statistically but I'm optimistic given the results of the S12s and NRL.

It is a pretty simple system, works to accurately predict home advantage, road performance, effects of travel etc and a bit of H2H. It does NOT factor in motivation, injuries & returns (hello roosters vs 'dogs), weather, state of origin etc.

H2H isn't really that important and hardly ever alters my predicted score enough to change what side my system recomends.