My intial strip down using some form factors gave me the following:

ETHIOPIA
GREEN MOON
MALUCKYDAY
MY QUEST FOR PEACE
KELINNI
GLENCADAM GOLD
TAC DE BOISTRON
LIGHTS OF HEAVEN
ZABEELIONAIRE

I then eliminated a few on price ranges (the winner ususally is in the range of $6 to $20 which is usually the shorter priced horses in the melbourne cup) and this left me with:

ETHIOPIA
GREEN MOON
MY QUEST FOR PEACE
MALUCKYDAY
KELINNI

I would probably also rule out MALUCKYDAY due to it contesting and not winning previously.

So my early tips this year would be these ones (in order):

ETHIOPIA ($19)
MY QUEST FOR PEACE ($17)
KELINNI ($19)
GREEN MOON ($16)

I know its early but anyone else got any thoughts.