Firstly, if you are worried about bet sizes, I think that IAS is probably the largest bookie in Australia. I thing that they offer Top Fluctiuation betting with a $5,000 win limit.

Secondly, I don't think that you should be worried about betting TF on the super specials in the Melb/Syd markets at around 105%. The 50% POT on the super specials is based on these TF markets - so it doesn't really matter what % the markets are set at if you are making a long term POT by having superior information. It is worth noting that Propunter not only selects the winners but outrates the bookies. Propunter provides both the top selection and the minimum required odds that the horse should be bet at(ie where value exists). - eg when Confectioner won at $7 it was rated at $2.50, and when Mr Lofty won last week it was rated at $2.00. Not all super specials are rated at below bookie odds, there were a couple of instances where required odds were not reached and the horse lost - (eg. I think Alinghi in the Slipper was rated at around $2ish and hence at TF no bet was made).

Regarding betting strategies, back testing of all super specials would provide a maximum return betting at around 13% of bank, with no reductiuon in stakings. I have not done any testing on the gold specials.

I started with a modest bank and have been betting around 5% of bank on super specials - I think this is pretty safe, and I may progressively reduce this to around 2%-3% once my bank doubles again (ie maintain same $ bet size). Perhaps a second bank could bet at say 10% but this is pretty risky in the long term - ie high probability of wipe out.

I am not interested in the sportsbetting - too easy to be biased. I generally rely on propunter selections and excercise very little discression - eg I will have my main bet straight up to win at TF , and then have some minor side bets in the multiples. Hence I don't thinmk that you really need to know too much about the horses to be a winner - propunter gives you all the required information without you needing to make judgements yourself. If I was still making judgements on what i should be betting on I would probably still be losing or break even at best.


I hope all this helps.
Propunter is public with its records and members can testify to this - where else do you see a rating service advertise its results on an equal staking method ?
I know that it seems too good to be true, but I have the cash in my IAS account and records for the past few months to prove that so far propunter has certainly deliverred.

All the best with your punting . . .

[ This Message was edited by: adrian on 2004-06-10 19:50 ]