My thoughts:

Carlton vs Hawthorn
Neither of these sides are good betting propositions. On form Carlton should certainly win this, but I expect Hawthorn to really guts it out, especially after what's happened during the week. The 27.5 pts start may be a bit too much.

W.Bulldogs vs St Kilda
I think it was a good wakeup call for the Saints last week and Brad Johnson out is a real loss for the dogs. My ratings suggest a BIG win for St Kilda, but I'm not as confident of that at the MCG as if the game was at the Dome.

Essendon vs Brisbane
The Bombers are in good form winning 8 out of their last 9 and they won the last encounter between these two teams at this ground. I expect it to be pretty close, but I think the Bombers can win, so Essendon +8.5 looks okay to me. (I'll still be cheering for the Lions though)

West Coast vs Adelaide
Adelaide have a good record in Perth, but I still favour the West Coast to get up here. I think the 22.5 points start could be a bit too much though. The Crows will be determined this week after an awful loss last week.

Port Adel vs Sydney
Sydney beat Port the last time they played here, but that was a final and we all know what happens to the Power in finals. I think Port can get up in this one, but I don't really expect a big margin though.

Geelong vs Kangaroos
The Kangaroos have a GREAT record against Geelong, but this is a vastly improved Cats team from previous years and their recent form has been excellent. I think they should win this one, but the Roos will certainly be tough and once again it could be less than 20 points.

Richmond vs Fremantle
My ratings suggest a very close match here, but neither of these teams really inspires any betting confidence for this game. The Tigers certainly have a great record against Fremantle at the MCG, but their current form is terrible. Who knows?

Melbourne vs Collingwood
The Demons are the surprise of the competition, although this IS an even numbered year, so we should have expected it. On form, Melbourne should have too much for the Magpies. Although Buckley is back, they could be without Tarrant AND Rocca. I feel the Demons should prevail by over 20 points.