27th December 2012, 10:45 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 225
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I think it was Partypooper that provided this commonsense explanation originally. It went something like this:
Lets say you have a strategy that loses 3% on turnover. And you play this strategy over a long period, say 20 years to eliminate the chance of variance in the results. So over the 20 year period it loses 3% on turnover.
Now, over this 20 year period, the bets you have 1 unit on will probably lose 3%, and the bets you have 2 units on will probably lose 3% as well, and the bets you have 3 units on will lose 3% as well.... on and on it goes. No matter how you work it, the results will even out over a long period and the same loss on turnover should apply across the board.
Makes sense to me.
You should ask Useless Bettor how his sports target betting approach ended up.
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