"Therefore, I only have 3 different penalties for playing away - 5,10 and 20 points."

You don't think it's dangerous to be that casual? My system isn't that complicated but all the ratings and final score go down to the 100ths. That way I know exactly who to pick in the tight ones. I know for sure that if I rounded to only the nearest point for each rating, I wouldn't know whether to pick the bombers or the lions.

I look at how individual teams travel, but they don't necessarily get a penalty. Some actually deserve bonuses :wink:


BTW sportz, have 2 questions for you. How much is each point worth in the AFL? Exactly how much is each point with in the NRL?

I'm talking as in each point is worth say 10 cents or how much it affects win%.

NRL seems to be worth around 2.4% to 2.6% ????(i.e. a team with a 1 point start should be priced 1.91).

AFL worth 0.6% to 0.8%??? AFL scorelines seem to be 3-4x larger.

Essendon probally shouldn't have been a play. Even though my system says there's a little value it's not enough to warrant a bet.