Mr J,

I guess your system is purely mechanical, so you have to be very precise. On the other hand, my ratings are based quite a bit on personal opinion and I like to keep things as simple as possible. I could get all technical and give lots of different penalties and bonuses, but I'd probably just end up confusing things.

I think you're probably about right with your estimate. I know that a point is worth about 2.5% in League and Union, but I hadn't really had a look at the AFL. At a guess though, I'd say maybe about 0.7%. Moeee actually has a formula for working out the odds based on a predicted margin. Maybe he can help you in some way.

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-06-11 23:57 ]