
15th June 2004, 10:33 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 759
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"that the horse racing package offers the best returns ie. POT."
I swear it's like you just baited me...
POT isn't everything. More bets with a lower POT can profit the same amount or more, but with lower variance.
Kelly suggests a 4% unit for MLB. They release around 5-6 bets per day. We'll say 35 bets per week, which would mean turning over 140% of your BR each week. You're making around 6-7% POT a week, or 9.8% of your BR each week.
For the Super Specials, Kelly suggests 13% max. An average of one per week means turning over just 13%, along with 50% POT brings 6.5% growth of your BR each week.
Due to the baseball having many more bets, variance will be less.
This isn't to say the baseball package is more profitable, just that a higher POT is not necessarily more profitable.
When you include the gold specials and other ratings the two packages probally perform in a similiar fashion.
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