Hi, Riconpaul.

Yes, laying outsiders is fraught with danger, however I am laying them on S.P. where the size of the loss is decided, and can be minimal if so wished.

The method is doing quite well. Including the testing period there have been 2,113 selections for 2,075 smiles which is a strike/success rate of 98%. And if the current $333 liability was layed on every selection a profit of $5,429 would have been made after the 2.5 months of its existence.

Don Scott's market is framed a few days (I'm under the impression its three days) before the actual race, so the calculations cannot take into account some important factors, such as the state of the track, the barrier draw, etc.

It's not surprising Skyform has a better record then D.S. with fancied horses. However I don't think we should apply too much importance on only one day's results.

Don Scott passed away several years ago. I think the Racing and Sports website may have applied some adjustments to his original calculations even though some of the prices are quite puzzling. Our lay system isn't based solely on his market, and several filters are in force to identify which selections are to be layed.

After my positive comments hopefully the method will now not crash and burn. Some of us punters can be so superstitious.