28th February 2013, 10:38 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,426
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The problem with breaking the stats down too much is that your sample size becomes greatly diminished.
I agree with evajb001, Heavy tracks produce a high strike rate of favourites because proven wet performers get heavily backed, plus there are usually a wad of scratchings which increase their chances.
Average field size has a lot to do with the favourite strike rate at each track, although there are slight variances.
What is an advantage is watching for track downgradings during the meeting and dead3 or slow tracks as trainers often run the gauntlet anyway, where they would scratch if it were Heavy.
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