5th April 2013, 11:32 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Brisbane
Posts: 230
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G'day to all.
I just read through the entire thread. I must admit that I laughed out loud a few times. Of course I did not reveal all of my methodologies back when I was posting regularly. I still won't. What I will say is that everyone wants a winner but if you want to make a profit from punting you need to understand that you don't necessarily need a winner to make that profit
I might have said this before but when analysing race form most punters make a basic error. They search the form for reasons as to why they should support a particular horse. I look for reasons to dismiss horses.
The thread also touched on my love of analysing trackwork times as a clue to a horses chances. There is a gold mine waiting for you inside the back pages of any weekend Sportsman. Now alone, they are useful but not infallible. Find a horse working well and when it fulfils other analytical requirements, hit it hard!
I should also come clean and reveal that I am a qualified intelligence analyst (retired now) and that certainly helped me sort out a few filters!
From this weeks Sportsman I have come up with my idea of good trackworkers. Follow these up over a few starts...Asterisked horses are racing tomorrow:
Sydney
Swift Shadow
Blazing Snitzel
Somepin Anypin
She Happened
Magita
Almighty Charge
Twinzig
Scarborough
Tamariz *
Fiveandahalfstar *
Emeritus
De Shamekh
Command More*
Runaway Star
There's Only One *
MidSummer Music*
Swift Succession
Manighar*
Melbourne
Le Bonsir*
Smokin Joey * (in Sydney)
Saturn Rock *
Hunger *
Pity it's a wet track in Sydney and the Melbourne races are at the Valley!
The Slipper? If you must...
1, 16, 12 , 4, 13. (I dislike favourites)
In the BMW I have actually been tipped Mawingo from 2 different sources.
Whatever you do guys, good luck.
Cheers
Privateer
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