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Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Thanks Paul.Can I run this past you
Its my main method - Daily basis.
I wont divulge it on a open forum for obvious reasons.
199 Bet /75 Wins /Win % 37.6/ Av Dividend $2.80/POT 13.4 %
Cheers and Thanks
darky
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Hi Darky
The results are listed below:
In terms of the 199 bet example and using a strike rate of 37.5%, the realities of mathematics dictate the following conclusions:
1. Your average bet size should not exceed 1.10% of your bank;
2. Using 1 line of deviation (68% of the time), you will likely have a drawdown of between 19-37 winners in terms of average bets;
3. Using 2 lines of deviation (95% of the time), you will likely have a drawdown of between 10-46 winners in terms of average bets;
4. There is still a 5% chance that your results will fall outside both points 2 and 3;
5. Depending on how long it takes to wager the 199 bets, your results in terms of POT% are likely (95% chance) to be between -10.1% and +30.1% POT after the 100 bets have been made and resulted.
6. The longest losing sequence will fall between 4 and 16 (95% of the time).