18th May 2013, 04:55 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 333
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by FredTheMug
While reading through some old posts, one of the regulars mentioned that they had a good win and were done for the night.
Has anyone done any analysis to confirm whether that can be a worthwhile strategy? To me, if you believe you have a winning system, then you need as many bets as you can to average out your P&L.
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Hi FredTheMug
I agree completely with your view. It makes absolutely no sense to stop betting on pre-determined selections just because you have had a good day.
If your normal selection process (whatever that maybe) has identified a horse as a bet then you should execute that bet save for extreme circumstances such as a dramatic change to track conditions.
The most important point to draw from this discussion is that probability has no memory.
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Regards
Paul Daily - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd (Director)
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate performance ratings that include Hong Kong.
http://www.ratings2win.com.au/
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