22nd May 2013, 01:15 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 743
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by SpeedyBen
Onya RP. I decided to seriously evaluate what longshot first starters and first uppers can do. Having been hit by them a few times when evaluating the noorals I knew that they popped up on a semi regular basis. I set my bot up to back all such horses if 30+ was available 10 seconds before the jump. There were 36 losers before the first winner this morning. My bot backed it at $110. Hooblodyray!
My first ever 100/1 winner.
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Good when your studies amount to something! I had the choice between Lil Nina and Falpollo to Lay so I referred to my $30 plus Betfair spreadsheet (see thread DNA of a longshot winner) and saw that FS > $30 have 5% WSR and resumers 15% so I went with Lil Nina thank God!
I was nearly going to post at the beginning of the day that we were due a longshot coming home as we never had one at all yesterday. |