
29th June 2004, 04:57 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Nov 1999
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 2,427
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Comments invited about applying filters. Here is the outcome of applying various
filters to a set of actual results: you can see that applying the 21 days or less since last
start made hardly any difference to the S/R or ave. divi but did alter the POT
significantly , the winPOT going down and the place pot going UP!!
apply rule (a)
overall 21days
% wins= 33.33 33.3
%place= 71.56 71.87
WinPOT= 8.33 supertab 6.56
plce POT= 6.53 supertab 7.01
ave win= 3.25 supertab inc stake 3.19
ave place= 1.49 supertab inc stake 1.49
Then apply rules (b) (c) (d) individually, then a+b+c, then a+b+c+d and see what happens
(explanation) rule (b) place S/R of at least 50%, (c) = Last Start Winner, and (d) = not
ridden by 3kg claiming apprentice.
(b) (c) (d) a+b+c a+b+c+d
50%S/Rplc LSW noAPP
33.78 40 37.03 41.17 45.16
77.07 80 76.54 82.35 83.87
7.02 30.6 16.91 36.17 49.35
11.93 19.06 15.69 19.2 20.74
3.16 3.26 3.16 3.3 3.3
1.45 1.49 1.46 1.45 1.44
My question is: do you number crunchers find that this is the case in most cases or is it just
unique to my particular set of results???
Well that didn't copy and paste very well, anyone who is interested I will send by e-mail. my address is lumbasakabayo at hot mail dot com
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