9th June 2013, 09:57 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 743
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Part 5
We now move onto the $1.30 category.Looking at the sorted results we see that there's been more losses than wins.
Calculate the Forecast WSR:
100/1.36 = 73.5%
Calculate the Actual WSR:
3 wins/7 races = 42.8%
So the Forecast WSR is 74% and Actual WSR is 43%, known in the game as an Underlay, a Layers best friend.
Based on our tests we are confident to Lay this category so we do our calculations, to the right hand side, to Lay the $1.30 selections and Dutch Back the Field. Result is a profit of $1,561 on a turnover of $1,400 = 111% POT. A Great Result!!
We check any other conditions that might have assisted a sub group of selections winning or losing, but nothing stands out.
Again beware, this is a very small sample used to demonstrate a technique and should not be relied upon to predict future profit/losses.
If confident that you've found an Edge, write a new filter:
=IF(AND(G#>=1.3,G#<1.4),"L"," ")
"L" indicates to Lay the Fav and Dutch Back the Field.
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