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10th June 2013, 01:21 PM
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Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,234
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSchmile
Hi RP,
Another interesting post as usual!!
Your theory holds water during one day of betting activity, however doesn't the fact that you go again the next day, then increase your chance of hitting a loser?
Eventually, you have the same statistical chance of hitting a loser, as if you'd carried on after reaching your POS for the day?
E.g. 100 bets over 1 day, or 100 bets over 30 days.
You have the same statistical chance of hitting a loser, UNLESS, you have an edge in the earlier races.
Hope it makes sense, I'm just trying to add an angle to the debate and am enjoying your latest threads IMMENSELY!!
Cheers RP.
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Earlier races, smaller fields, standout favorites (or false fav?). It's about all of these I believe but above all else.. I think it's more about our basic psychology of winning and loosing and making this work for us in a positive way.
Option 1; You take an early but smallish loss; It's harder to shut up shop but easier to walk away with your bank and bollocks intact
Option 2; You score an adequete predetermined return early doors (POS,POT,ROC etc etc); Again, it's harder to shut up shop but easier to walk away with your bank on the up (and a bigger pair?)
Either way you win in that you can walk away and come back to play another day. Just my two pennies, but they all seem to be stacking up for me with this strategy.
Give us a tune, Schmiley?
Cheers LG
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The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
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