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Quote:

Originally Posted by darkydog2002

Probably better addressed to other posters but basically the idea is to "Follow the horse that is the biggest FIRMER in the betting" .

What I,m basically asking is = Is there any statistical evidence for this being a good idea.?

Is there any particular Price range where this might actually work.?

I ask a Pro because this idea has been bandied about for more years than I care to remember.

Cheers
darky

Hi darky

Overall betting markets that are very close to or at post time (when the biggest firmer in the betting is known) are very efficient. That is the SP of a horse is the best indication of its chances providing it is adjusted for price bias.

So to answer your question, whilst backing these types of horses may provide an increase in strike rate, doing so after the best prices have been bet is a sure fire way of ensuring that you finish behind.

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