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Old 14th July 2013, 07:56 PM
Brett V.02 Brett V.02 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 56
Default Horse Filter 1 – Starting Price

Thinking –

The top 4 in the market historically produce a lot of winners.

Results –

SP Under $3
Selections – 36
Wins – 20
Win % - 55.6%
Outlay – $36.00
Return – $46.20
POT - 28.3%

SP $3-$4.9
Selections – 33
Wins – 10
Win % - 30.3%
Outlay – $33.00
Return – $48.30
POT - 46.4%

SP $5 and Over
Selections – 16
Wins – 2
Win % - 12.5%
Outlay – $16.00
Return – $12.30
POT - -23.1%

Justification –

I will admit this is one filter I do already have an opinion on and use. I tend to operate using either first or 2nd favourites. I very rarely bet on a horse with and SP over $5. This is for 2 reasons. First of all, my personality and punting mind set struggles with long losing streaks. My nerves and patience struggle to deal with it. I have always taken the view that the horses I back under $3 are for my psyche, and the horses over $3 are for my bank. In saying that, I know a lot of people who regularly back winners at any old odds and have been doing it for a long while. I'm also aware of the fact that 2 or 3 winners at $5+ would realign their overall results and 16 selections are not very many. When using this system, I do use the exclude SP $5 filter.
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