Glenno:

Lonhro 2012/2013 128 individual runners, 104 individual winners, 2075 total runs, 251 wins (12%)

Therefore, backing all Lonhro progeny in all starts failed to win 88% of the time. To break even you would need an average win dividend of around $8.27. Even a longshot at say $40 would only cover (break even) 5 losing runners.

The problem with the top sires is that they are often overbet and do not offer value unless some sort of filters are put in place. By the way, from my studies the average sire's runners consistency is around 9-11%. Even the top sires only get around 13-16% consistency. For instance, More Than Ready who I rate as a very good sire got 13% consistency during this period.

Even the great Danehill when at his best could only get 16% (tops) consistency from his progeny

Cheers, Rich

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