10th August 2013, 07:01 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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Super 15 follow up
You were exactly right that taking the Brumbies h2h was a value bet that unfortuanatley didn't pan out. They had that 10 point lead but gave up the last 15, classic home advantage for the Chiefs.
I calculated bets vs TAB New Zealnd using the Kelly rules I have after the predictions. The vaue bets were on h2h. I limit each week's bets to 25% of bankroll and no one bet exceeds 10% of bankroll. The rest is as per the rules. Those winning dogs made a lot on the last weeks of the season.
Thanks for the kind words. Maybe I'll start soccer or the NFL again some time.
Cheers,
Ray
y
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Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Thanks for a great season of tips, Ray. I took the Brumbies as a 'value bet' based on your fair odds, and they weren't that far away from pinching it - might just have done it without all the travel?
All the best to you. Wish you were covering more than just the one market on here !
Cheers LG
PS with your POT and ROI stats above, did you base this one on tipped winners and/or where there was also a value bet??
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