20th August 2013, 10:36 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,425
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LG, that's a difficult one for a couple of reasons, but firstly you need a formguide like The Sportsman or others that give previous in running positions, from there you can work out the "most likely" position.
However, it depends greatly on the barrier, and the pace.
A JB mentioned, it's easier to look at video replays to determine if the horse made ground from back in the field.
On or just off the pace has a much better record overall, with backmarkers and midfielders struggling to make back to back wins. (The strike rate is much lower).
When I did the speedmap excercise, I found many that got it thereabouts, but no speedmap was totally accurate, the accuracy rate was lifted by the horses with very obvious running style. I'm utilising video replays more each day than I ever did to note many things not indicated in the formguides.
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