29th October 2013, 02:12 PM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by evajb001
Tend to agree RCP but does that in itself make it a tool? i.e. ignore the top 3 favourites according to AAP as they are overbet and look at say the 4th to 6th favourites?
I don't use their ratings at all myself, not currently anyway but just food for thought. The way I approach everything now is to look for the underbet profitable angles not the overbet profitable angles or the overbet high strike rates (hope that makes sense).
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I agree with you Josh, you need to identify situations where the market consistently under or overbets a runner and build a system around it. For me it's meant becoming a student of price, not form, and how price, particularly oncourse bookmakers price interacts and behaves. It reflects a lot of the bad traits of punters, that you can go the opposite on? |