27th February 2014, 06:40 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 641
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Super 15 Week 3
To say the least, the season has been off to an odd start. There have been 6 upsets in 9 matches, twice as many as usual. My system makes it's largest adjustments in the first weeks to compensate for changes in team strength compared to last season. Every week, the teams have to defend their ratings. In the next two weeks, those adjustments will either prove to be correct or they will readjust. Be cautious betting for Weeks 3 and 4 while we find out if the upsets were due to bad luck or maybe those favoutites just aren't that good this season.
Good luck,
Ray Stefani
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