3rd March 2014, 07:38 AM
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mattio
.............Now after running through some filters I found that 1 filter had almost identical bets and wins but a very different return. The filter is "Won at the Track", here is what I found...........
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Yes Mattio there are certainly some profitable niches to be found for those prepared to put in the time looking and having a great searchable database. I found a good one this morning for Back betting.
For a particular State and Favourite rank:
Track condition suitable based on past performance.
77 Bets 23 Wins 30% SR 5.69% POT
Track condition unsuitable based on past performance
13 Bets 4 Wins 30% SR 96.92% POT 
You can see here a contrarian view. The bookmakers, analysts and tipsters have studied past performance, seen a favourite running on say a 'Slow' track for the first time, Opened the price higher and the punters have let it drift. Same strike rate, big difference in dividend.
Great fun finding these! |