Hi Butternut

A professional punter friend told me once you cannot follow form. I have been winning ever since.

My personal view for what its worth is that is a delicate balance between many variables and punters as you suggest easily forget.

Eg. Vaincross in adelaide a few weeks ago 1st up against some very ordinary horses $19 winner. What has it done since sent out fav.

When it won it was running in a $17000 open handicap. The handicapper gave it 60kg.

This horse had been running in much much better company.

At those odds it was huge overs.

70% of fav. lose






regards
ubetido

[ This Message was edited by: ubetido on 2004-07-29 18:49 ]